Campbell Ramble

Campbell Ramble

Overconfidence is (probably) blowing up your life

December 22nd, 2015

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Alexander Campbell
Nov 09, 2021
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I think a lot about the way things “blow up”.

Most of the time when something blows up, it’s because of a combination of structure and overconfidence. It happens when a person, a firm, or even an entire economy becomes overconfident, and creates a complex set of structures and obligations around what it thinks it can deliver on. Inevitably the reality of

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