Overconfidence is (probably) blowing up your life
December 22nd, 2015
I think a lot about the way things “blow up”.
Most of the time when something blows up, it’s because of a combination of structure and overconfidence. It happens when a person, a firm, or even an entire economy becomes overconfident, and creates a complex set of structures and obligations around what it thinks it can deliver on. Inevitably the reality of



